I like to stay in touch with past clients and one of the most frequently asked questions I get is “How’s the Colorado Springs real estate market doing?”.  In the past week I had the opportunity to hear Alex Charfen, founder of The Distressed Property Institute and the Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) real estate designation, speak to our company and my response to a recent client inquiry reflected what I heard Alex say.  We are not out of the woods yet.

My family built a new home in Colorado in 1988 and it did NOT appreciate for 5 years until MCI opened their headquarters in Colorado Springs in 1993 and did massive hiring.  Many new jobs followed in the technology and service sectors.  Colorado Springs grew.  Our home has appreciated nicely since 1993, even though those first years were not good, but we didn’t build our house intending to rake in appreciation in 12 months, 18 months, or even 3 years.  Many people had that mindset as they bought between 2004 and 2007.  It hasn’t worked out for them as we as a nation have experienced a devastating recession and billions of dollars of wealth has been lost.  What does it take to get positive home appreciation?  Jobs!!!  Until we see the job situation improve, we will not see a robust real estate market.  Does that mean you shouldn’t buy now, or sell and buy a nicer home?  Absolutely not.  Over a lifetime, home ownership has proven to be an amazing vehicle for wealth accumulation compared to renting and paying someone else’s mortgage.  But you do have to pay attention to your personal financial circumstances and lifestyle and decide whether you can afford to not have any appreciation for the next 2-3 years.  That is what we will probably see locally and nationally.  We expect Colorado Springs to improve ahead of many markets, but there is no guarantee when that will happen.

So what did I tell my client?  Here’s my response.  Do you agree with me?  Or do you believe the national press telling you all is good, no worries, things are looking up?  Stayed tuned for more facts in the coming weeks.  Then you decide.

We’re doing better with the number of sales than last year, but last year was the worst year in about 20 years in Colorado Springs.  The $8000 first time homebuyer tax credit is helping increase the number of sales for 2009 and 2010, but prices are not going up.  Rather we expect them to either stay flat or decrease again once the tax credit goes away 4/30/10.  It’s an awesome buyer’s market, but a lousy seller’s market.  My team and I are telling people that if they have to sell or they are looking for a great move-up deal and are willing to take a price hit on their current home to get the $6500 move-up buyer credit and great pricing and low interest rates on a larger or newer home, then go ahead and list their home, but if they just want to “try” to sell, this is not the market for that.  There is another wave of foreclosures coming as ARMs reset in 2011 so we don’t expect prices to improve locally for at least another 2 years.  We’re encouraging people to pay down their mortgages and pay in additional principal to build equity in the coming few years.

It’s been a tough time in real estate since July 2008 when the stock market started tumbling and the banks took a turn for the worse, but I’m here to tell you homes are still selling.  It’s just a different market.  At our company, RE/MAX Properties, Inc in Colorado Springs, we are using new tools and techniques to address the realities of today’s market.  I’m on top of it.  In analyzing my business I also realized that since January 2007 when many Realtors started leaving the business or getting part time jobs because their business dried up, I’ve kept going and only really started feeling the impact of the changing market in the fall of 2008.  I have sold 25 homes since January 2007, my buyer specialist closed 2 for me, and I have 2 under contract now.  How many Realtors can post those statistics?  It’s less than in previous years, but I and my team are getting homes closed!

What we are seeing is that all of my sales since fall have been either foreclosure or short sale properties.  As I’ve said before, unless sellers are willing to compete with these types of properties they will find themselves in the group of homes that didn’t sell when 2009 is over.  Last year that number was 64% of homes that were in the MLS in the Pikes Peak Region.

I recently completed training as a Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE), so I am able to help people who are at risk of losing their homes determine whether they would benefit from a short sale.  I am actively using a great new tool for buyers to be able to check out the price and information on any home in our MLS from their car - anonymously!  And I am ramping up our new InvestorLoft tool for the investors I am working with so they can search on cash flow or Cap Rate.  Awesome!

Finally, towards the end of March I will be learning more about how to help buyers purchase real estate in their self-directed IRA.  If your stock market investments aren’t cutting the mustard or you have cash in IRAs that you don’t know what to do with, you may be interested in looking into this option.  Along with converting to a Roth IRA while your account values are down, if you qualify to do so, looking at real estate may be just what gets you going in the right direction.  Stay tuned.

If any of this intrigues you, you can learn more at carefreehomes4u.com.  To use the tools mentioned above, just email me or give me a call.  It is a fantastic time to buy!  Opportunities are everywhere.

What a crazy year 2009 has been already.  I’ve been busy listing homes, took 2 full days to attend CDPE (Certified Distressed Property Expert) training in January, and attended the CRS Sellabration in San Francisco in early February.  The real estate market continues to change and opportunities for buyers and investors are ripe.  Low interest rates, prices that haven’t been seen in many a moon, and lots of people looking for rentals in our local Colorado Springs market has created those opportunities.

Sales in January 2009 were down close to 17% from December, primarily because of everyone sitting back with bated breath waiting to hear if there is something in the stimulus package that will make their home purchase more profitable.  Many potential buyers are also waiting to see if their job will still be in place as the economy tumbles.  Stock portfolios have been hit hard as well, so investors are licking their wounds at the moment and trying to figure out if they can jump into the real estate fray anytime soon.  The good news is that inventories are also down, making it easier for sellers who are trying to sell increase their chances of a sale.

In this market, price is paramount!  We saw 1/3 of our sales go to distressed properties in November and December of 2008.  Some markets are much much worse.  What it means for sellers is they have to compete on price with short sales and foreclosures.  That will continue to reduce inventory and voila, one day the market will turn around because there will be more buyers than homes available.  That isn’t going to be anytime soon because another wave of foreclosures is coming, but history tells us it will happen.  Real estate has always been cyclical and we are in one hell of a cycle since 2007.

Prices rose too quickly because of easy money and lack of accountability.  One of 4 homes sold in recent years was either an investment purchase or 2nd home.  A whopping 25%!!!  When the bubble burst, there was a lot of collateral damage as plunging prices were brought to most neighborhoods.  As the cycle continues, buyers who were priced out of the market over the past several years will now have an opportunity to buy.  Investors will salivate over the opportunities for low priced rental properties.  Yes, the people with money will make money.  Wouldn’t you like to know how to be in that group during the next buying opportunity.  Stay tuned as I launch seminars to help you later this spring.

So that’s where we are now.  Lots of opportunity, but not a lot of credit available unless you have stellar financials.  For buyers who can buy now, have fun shopping.  It’s a great time to be in the real estate market!  Your dream home awaits.